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Tuesday, December 18, 2012

White Christmas Odds Update!

Hello everyone and good Tuesday to you! Welcome back to the blog for this White Christmas Odds Update post! As you know we had that small severe weather threat yesterday and all of that has now gone by the wayside and we're a mear 15 degrees cooler from this time yesterday.

Now to the good stuff. May of you have been blowing up my inbox on Facebook with questions on our snow chances for the winter along with questions like "Will we have a white Christmas this year?" Now I know we'rea week away and I'm no stranger to making predictions from a week or more out ;). Last week I had our chances for a White Christmas at 61% and it was only looking to go up from there.

To answer the first question of When will we see the snow? Well we have a potent system and cold front moving in here Thursday and we're likely to go from 50 degree temperatures with thunder and rain to 20s and 30s with snow in just a few hours time. Thursday night into Friday morning a good light accumulation of snow is a good bet with snow squalls and shower soming down along with 30-40 mph winds making the temperatures feel like at or near 10 degrees.

Now to the second question, Will we have a White Christmas? Well I know the past few weeks have been looking great and they still are but the models are agruing on the timing of these storm systems. They now say late Christmas day we could see snow flying. Because of the fact that we're still a week out I'm keeping our white Christmas odds above 50/50 right at 57%. Yeah thats down a bit but thats because the chance in the forecast. Here's what one model points at for that Christmas day forecast:
That look right there would probably bring a brief rain then change to mix and eventually snow as we work into Christmas Day evening.

As always I'll keep an eye on the situation and give you plenty of updates as we get closer. No matter if we have that White Chirstmas or not I hope you all have a Merry Christmas! :) Have a great Tuesday everyone and take care! :)

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