Snowy Thanksgiving

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! We just passed a busy Sunday weather wise (well for me anyways) and I have to say our area got lucky. All the rain and clouds that stuck around during the day protected our area from having the second major tornado outbreak in roughly a year and a half. 55 tornadoes have been confirmed so far with 13 more to be investigated. If I'm not mistaken, that sets a record for the most active tornado outbreak by far in the month of November. Nonetheless, the folks affected are in my thoughts.

Anyways, what's down the road for us? No severe weather I can tell you that. I'm tracking a system that I've been seeing on the long range models for a while. Now that we're about a week away from this system actually taking shape we can get a sense of where this thing looks to go and so far, it's one of those systems that looks to come out of Texas and ride the east coast. GFS medium range has this system forming and moving out of Texas, keeping it in the deep south in southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and south Alabama. While in the deep south it will suck moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico (in which looks to be abundant at this point) and turn up the east coast. Depending on the location where this storm starts to turn northeast and eventually north will determine what precipitation type we get. In the next day, I should be able to get a hint of what type of precipitation we get on the GFS model. No matter, don't take just one forecast to heart. If this goes the way I'm thinking, instead of it being a 'White Christmas' we could be looking at a 'White Thanksgiving' ;)

Keep an eye out on my new page Clayton Banks SEKYWeather on facebook for more updates in the coming days with a possible blog post coming tomorrow with the new model information that comes in. Have a great evening everyone and take care! :)

First Snowfall of The Very Young Season

Hello everyone and welcome back to the first blog post of the very young winter... I mean Fall season. Yes, this upcoming expected snows on Tuesday morning is anything but normal. Nothing is normal around here when we're taking about accumulating snows in mid November. This is a sign of more things to come as we look to start a pattern that looks to bring a few more bouts of cold and winter weather before Thanksgiving.

First let's focus on the short term. Today on your Monday we're looking good! You would never know it was going to snow by how today is going to play out. Nice conditions with highs in the low 60's. Enjoy it as we'll start dry and the next few days after that temperatures will be stuck in the upper 30's and low 40's for highs. Like I said above, this isn't normal for mid November.

The artic front will move through early Tuesday morning and will likely have a few rain showers just ahead of it. Behind the front temperatures will crash 15 degrees in a few hours time and light snow will begin to fly across the area! Snow lovers I have finally been able to order up a forecast that favors your side! The only downside is that what falls at first will not stick due to extremely warm ground temperatures. Now if we get in on some heavier bands you can briefly see this sticking to surfaces like car tops, roofs, and grassy areas. It looks to snow for a few hours and will be a sight to see. Speaking of accumulations, here's my first call for snowfall!

Southern Kentucky I regret to say this but we won't get as good of a shot because it will be later on when the front arrives to cool things down enough for snow but we'll see a lot of flakes and a shot for a light dusting on grassy surfaces. With that being said the one inch line does come close to the county line and that will be something to watch. Keep an eye out for an updated snowfall map after 5pm tomorrow when 18Z model runs come out.

Now a look at the long term, this weekend looks to get interesting. We have a system that looks to eject out of Texas and produce high winds, lots of rain, and strong thunderstorms but on the back side it looks to produce more snow for the area if the models continue to hold up. Oh wait, it doesn't stop there. Plenty of blocking is showing up down the road in which may mean several more shots of cold and snow up through early December. Not to mention another shot or two of cold and snow before Thanksgiving! Interesting pattern showing up ahead. For rapid updates visit my new page Clayton Banks SEKYWeather on Facebook. Have a great night everyone and take care! :)