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Tuesday, January 7, 2020

70 Degrees, Severe Storms In January?

Good Tuesday afternoon everyone and thank you for stopping by. As you know with me working a full time job, and full time parent it leaves me very little time to get into the blog here and give you those full updates that you've been so accustomed to over the years, but nonetheless you have my Facebook page Clayton Banks Weather and the Remind App for weather alerts so I guess you can say I stay busy! Anyways enough about me let's dive into this crazy pattern for a moment shall we?

Some areas got in on some mixed precipitation and some down right accumulating snows to our east. Some locations just east of our areas picked up 3" of the white stuff and on radar last night it was actually a near miss for us. Looking ahead temperatures warm back up and flirt with 70 degrees by the weekend. Thursday we see some showers and cloudiness trying to sneak in but I don't expect us to see a whole lot until Friday.

Saturday comes along and the further east you live the higher temperatures spike. My official forecast put the area at 70 degrees but seeing the setup we may be under done by a few degrees and that will also play into the hands of Severe Thunderstorms later that day. There's a chance that Saturday looks darn good until Thunderstorm move in. Wind will be gusting outside of storms at 50mph.

A line of strong to severe storms will roll eastward through the area and likely into the evening hours. Main threats will be damaging winds, torrential rains, and hail. A much smaller but secondary risk of a quick spin up tornado or two is also there but again the risk is small as of now. Take a look at the radar image below.

This image is from the very latest GFS model for Saturday. With wind gusts already to 50mph, it really wouldn't take too much more to cause damage so be on the look out for that.

As of now the Storm Prediction Center has keep us just out of the SLIGHT RISK for Severe Thunderstorms area but I do fully expect that to change into the coming days as we get closer and it's likely to extend well into central part of Kentucky too. Take a look at the current Slight Risk area as it stands today:

As you can tell from the image above, areas of the deep south is likely looking at a significant severe weather event. Fortunately for us we're not expected to see anything like this here.

After we get through Saturday, SUnday is pretty quiet in terms of weather but Monday into Tuesday could be another heavy rain event while Severe Storms could also play another role. Go home Mother Nature, you're drunk! At this point I say let's go ahead and turn the page to spring what do you all think?

I do see in the long range towards the end of the month we're going to try and flip the pattern back to a more winter like setup. It's too early to be specific on anything but precipitation also looks to stay above normal during that time frame as well so that much bodes well for snow lovers.

As always tanks for tuning in, make it a great Tuesday everyone and take care!