On To The Next Storm!

Hello everyone and thanks for stopping by the blog tonight! I have a full update coming for you on the next storm system to impact the area on Thursday. This system looks to bring a little bit of everything to the area. Let's go further in depth shall we?

First off clouds will start to filter in from the west and southwest from this moster system thats currently bringing upwards of a foot of snow to the midwestern states. Late ron in the evening we'll start to see the percipitation start. As of now I fully expect most areas to start off as a brief mix of rain, sleet, and snow. With that being said, some locations may be a touch cooler and may see a patch of all snow but if you do see that it'll only last a few seconds to a half minute at the most.

We'll then start to see a surge of warmer air moving in out of the south and this air will provide a change over from a mix precipitation to all rain. By midnight Thursday I expect most if  not all locations to have already seen the change over to all rain. This rain will last well into the morning hours on Friday, I would say the rain should be all out of the way by noon by the latest. The clouds will linger through the afternoon and evening hours with warmer temperatures still in place. Highs Friday will top out at about 59 degrees.

All this warm air will hang around for the weekend and actually making for one of the nicest weekends we've seen in a while. Saturday morning we'll have a 60% chance of rain but that will be in the earliest of the morning hours by 8am the threat should be all gone. We'll then see the sun come out and warm us up to about 53 degrees.

Sunday actually looks nice to end the weekend with clear and sunny skies. Temperatures won't quite warm up as much as Friday and Saturday but with sunny skies should make up for that. I see high temperatures topping out right around 51 degrees.

Enjoy these warmer temperatures this weekend as change is just looming around the corner as this look to continue to be active in our neck of the woods. I see some systems arriving about every two to thre days and with the potential for some to blow up into bigger storms. I will en on this note, do you remember when I made that post on facebook just yesterday about the potential for a big storm in the Ohio Valley? Well just in case you didn't, models have been showing the chance for a big system developing and moving into our area sometime between the last few days of February and the first few days of March. Yes, this does look like a snow maker but the details won't be ironed out for another week at the least. I wanted to say I still see that pattern showing up on the models.

Will that big system happen? Only time will tell and I'll be watching for it until then. Have a great night everyone and take care! :)

Spring 2013 Outlook!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! I'm currently in the process of trying to get the blog back into full swing mode but time has been limited for me to do so. Anyways I know Winter isn't close to being over yet but it's never too early to start looking ahead to Spring. This post will be all about the spring season that everyone wants to come so badly.

I want to start with that spring may take to a slow start due to a lagging winter season. Winter started off slow and I fully expect spring to do the same yet not as slow as winter did. I do see alot of warmth for spring but not that type of heat and summer time temperatures we were seeing across the area but this warmth will be more widespread and like I just stated, not as hot. Basically we're looking at an average spring.... Temperature wise.

Now on to the precipitation part. I do see plenty of rains for the area and I also see an elevated SEVERE WEATHER RISK towards the latter part (mid to late season) of the severe weather season. Tornadoes is a possibility. I do also have a feeling that this Subtropical Jet stream will be active and be a factor in producing several chacnes for tornado outbreaks arcoss our state. I'm not the only one who thinks the same, the good folks at Accuweather is thinking the same thing. Check out their Spring 20123 highlights map:

Accuweather is actually predicting a good tornado threat for our area for late in the severe thunderstorm season. Here's more evidence that it could be a real threat:

This is from the SPC and this shows how tornadoes so far this year stacks up to previous years. The black line is for 2013. That folks is a very active winter for tornadoes so far. This could be yet another active severe weather season for the state of Kentucky.

Also with severe weather season just around the corner, I strongly suggest you buy a weather radio. This things are cheap, right around 25-30 bucks. If you buy one I can help you set it up. All you have to do is send me a tweet or a message on facebook and I'll be more than happy to set it up for you. These things have saved and do save thousands of lives each and every storm season alone. They're handy! They could help save your life too, especally when power goes out and you are unable to keep up with my updates.

Have a great Monday evening everyone and take care! :)

Back To Winter

Hello everyone and good late Tuesday evening to all of you out there. I'm tracking a tricky storm moving into the area for tomorrow which looks to feature just about everything from rain, snow, and mixed precipitation. This system is going to be tricky because the amount of cold air on the back side is going to unknown until late tomorrow morning into the early afternoon hours.

Temperatures for tomorrows system will be marginal. What do I mean by marginal? It basically means "iffy" so to speak. Temperatures will bounce around between the mid 30s for much of the day with at any given time snow, rain, or a mix may fall. Roadways and ground temperatures are way warmer than what the air temperatures will be so sorry kids no snow day for you! I do not expect much if any accumulations on the ground due to the warm ground and warmer air that is alreay in place. Although I cannot rule out the few bursts of moderate to heavier snows that may put down a quick accumulation of snow on the ground. Other than that there is no way to beat the warm ground.

Like I've said on my facebook a few days ago, I'm at the point where I'm tired of snow and I've been this way for a few weeks now. I'm ready for warm temperatures and Spring like many of you are. I hate to be the guy who brings bad news but there is not sign of Spring in the next few weeks. I see us in a wintry pattern that looks to last for the reast of the month.

With the above being said, I see our next potential for a WINTER STORM for us Saturday into Sunday. I also see the chance for minor accumulations on Friday before this next system as we get an ARTIC COLD FRONT to move in and this will re-enforce the shot of cold air and make sure this weekend is an ALL SNOW EVENT. The artic air looks to continue into next week as I see yet another winter system coming into the picture right around Tuesday into Wednesday. Yet another active pattern is ongoing here in the Bluegrass State.

Let's take everything just one system at a time. I can't say any details yet on any of the next two systems simply because we're so far out. I can say though that this weekend looks like a widespread shot of accumulating snow for much of the state.

I'll be online as much as possible tomorrow ahead and during this system moving in giving all of you rapid updates. Have a great night averyone and take care! :)