SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS

Good Wednesday morning everyone! I hope your having a great day. I'm stuck having to work on my birthday so hopefully your day is better than mine!! Today is the calm before the store as we have a SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW. Let's get to it shall we?

Tomorrow a cold front closes in on the area from the northwest and this will help destabilization to occur and fire up some strong to severe storms. The SPC or Storm Prediction Center has really highlighted the risk well. Take a look at the risk map they posted. (Keep in mind I've taken the liberty of marking the areas with the best shot at severe weather)

Areas west of the mountains have the best chance of seeing severe weather. Greatest risks include damaging winds, large hail, deadly cloud to ground lightning, and torrential rains.

Does this mean everyone in the red areas see storms? No, but it does mean you have the best chance.

These storms could also be fast movers which would increase the damaging winds threat some. Right now it is out greatest threat. I'm not looking at an outbreak by any means but some areas could get some wind damage out if these.

I'll have more updates as needed. Make it a great hump day and take care!!

Weekend Forecast

Good Tuesday everyone I hope all of you are staying cool on this hot day! The heat and humidity will give way later this week to some showers and storms with a nice, but we'll deserved cool down. But first let's get to today's action!

Today will stay mainly dry as a cold front stalls just to our south. This will allow for a few showers and storms to pop up in western and southern parts of the state. These won't be severe but could put down some decent rain totals before raining themselves out.

You can keep track of today's action by clicking the link below:
https://m.accuweather.com/en/us/kentucky/weather-radar

Late Thursday into Friday will feature another system sweeping in from the northwest with strong to severe storms along and ahead of the front. I'm not expecting a severe outbreak by any means but one or two of these could cause some local wind damage due to the fact that these storms will likely be fast movers.

The rest of the weekend looks nice! We could actually see temperatures struggle to the mid 70s with low humidity levels! Hey! I'll take it!

Models are suggesting cooler than normal weather to be the main focus for the month of August. It also continues to show no one set pattern will take place so therefore it's hard for me to see August trending too much cooler than normal for the whole month.

This is a time where I believe the tropics will get active. Right now it's all clear for the next 5 days. Have a look for yourself:

Make it a great Tuesday everyone and take care.

Short Term Forecast

Tomorrow should feature some scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area. This action won't be very widespread but if your area gets in on rain, it could come down at a good clip. Take a look at the high resolution  (HI RES) future radar for our area into tomorrow. Click the link below:

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/HRRRSE_CUR/rloop.html

The cold front bringing the storms will slow down and almost stall out over the area, from there a bigger system moves in for Thursday into Friday and brings us a much better shot at showers and thunderstorms.

That system will also slow down to our east and may just try to throw some moisture back our way for the weekend. Starting tomorrow we'll see a bit cooler brand of air, mainly with a much lower humidity level which should last until the weekend.

I just checked the numbers and seasonal models really show a cooler than normal August. Will that happen? We'll see but usually when you see seasonal models show a cooler than normal month (especially it being a summer month) it would indicate a wetter than average month as well.

I also don't think we've seen the last of the summer heat, we could actually see a period of even hotter weather. Seeing how this summer hasn't had one true pattern, if we see hotter temperatures, it would only last for a few days at best then go back to a normal period of weather.

Have a great evening everyone and take care!

Welcome Back To The Blog!

Good afternoon everyone and welcome back to the blog! In recent years I've done away with the blog and I've finally decided to return to it! Anyways I'm looking to post here more and go in depth with the weather better.

I'm going to keep this post short and sweet. The next week and change we'll see temperatures go back down towards normal maybe even below normal with plenty of storm chances. We're not looking at a severe weather outbreak by any means but some storms could be strong and perhaps one or two could be severe.

I think during the early part of August the tropics will start to pick up and become more active. With that being said everything else is very much unknown. Usually by this time I've got an idea on how the winter may shape out and right now I'm just as clueless as ever and here's why, all year long, no one pattern has really ever set in. Yes, much of summer has been spent cooler than normal and wetter than normal but we've really been in a pattern that's went back and forth. When we get into a pattern it only lasts a week or two then mother nature throws another curve ball our way.

I do expect a little summer heat to last into the first part of fall and it may get a little toasty. I do this mid fall we really flip the heat off and it gets pretty cool out for a time. Beyond that? You're guess is as good as mine. I will say though seasonal models such as the CFS model have been favoring a cooler and wetter than normal winter ;)

We'll see in due time. Have a great Monday everyone and take care!