Southern Plains Storm, Kentucky Snow Maker?

Hello everyone and good Sunday to you! If you have been watching my Facebook feed you would know we have a storm system coming into the state on Monday evening. This system looks to bring a little bit of both rain and snow our way ;)

Now let's go in depth with this system. This is a storm that will track across Tennessee allowing cold air to get us from the north. That cold air will allow for a change-over to snow for most of the state of Kentucky. Now with that being said, there will be a transition line. That transition line of rain and snow will set up shop somewhere in the northern Kentucky area Monday night then move southward allowing for the counties north of our location to see the best shot at some slushy accumulations of snow.

This sytem isn't going to produce anything big in the way of snow but we could certainly see the first accumulating snows of the season for many locations. Take a look at this map for the best shot at accumulating snows:

This area in the purple currently looks like the best chance for light accumulation of snow. Remember this do not mean we will see snow on the ground but we do have the best chance.

Now, here's a image of what the Canadian model is spitting out in the way of that transition line I was talking about earlier:

Do you see that yellow color between the rain and snow? Thats the transition line I was talking about above. Thats where any type of mixed precip can fall. Sleet, snow, rain, freezing rain, ect. This model shows that line moving further south and east and actually this model also shows the system moving further south then Tenessee. That means a better chance in the way of snow.

I will have several updates in my twitter feed and facebook feed as well in the next 24-48 hours about this storm. Have a great Sunday everyone and take care! :)

Winter Weather Forecast Part 2 Of 3

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog. I hope all of you liked the preliminary post of my Winter Weather Forecast. I'm now back and with a part two of the forecast. Like I said on my facebook account, I do not know at this time if I will post a part three to the Winter Weather Forecast. It really depends on how things go. I do want to add, although I may be pressed for time I will for sure be with you like always through out the winter updating you on social media sites.

Now to the good stuff. I am seeing a change in the El Nino. The factor for an El Nino to occur when I made the first post was definately there. Now I'm not seeing that factor stand out as much. There is a threat for it to back down into a neutral phase, although El Nino is expected to make a return to the weak phase and like I've said for months thats a good thing for cold and snow lovers. If El Nino does sldie into a neutral phase anyting can happen. That also increases our rise for a mild winter like last year. Like I've said for months, if you are a cold and snow lover you want the El Nino to come in a weak form. The waters off the western coast of South America is currently just ever so slightly about average. That is something I will continue to watch carefully.

The factors for El Nino is currently just under 0.5, now thats in the neutral category but when the factor goes above 0.5 then, it would be in the El Nino category. Anything under -0.5 is a La Nina. The NAO and AO is bigger factors than ever this year and if you need a refresher of what that is check out the Part 1 post of the Winter Weather Forecast. The NAO and the AO is hard to predict because of the fact that the parameters for those two only go out two weeks ahead of time.

Now here's a few maps I found that will help you out. Sorry no snowfall forecast maps or temperature forecast maps this time.

Here's the Snow cover map:

Why am I showing you a map of everyone else thats getting snow? It's simple, It shows the current snow pack in place and anyone that is familiar with winter weather will know that areas with a snow pack have more cold air and that also means places with that snow on the ground stay cooler.

This a great sign for cold and snow lovers because with a snow pack so low in Canada this early only means one thing. There's plenty of cold air that Canada will be sharing with us this winter! You can't have snow without the cold ;)

Here's  2 more maps, none of which are created by me but I am posting thme this go around due to the fact that I am in much agreement with the guys who did create these maps.I honestly couldn't be in a greement more with these folks. Words can't describe it. Anyways here is the temperature map for this winter:

This map just like mine, show normal temperatures for our neck of the woods with slightly above normal and above normal temperatures for most, if not the rest of the state.

 Still coninuing to stay on the "Above Normal Snowfall" bandwagon! ;) Near normal snowfall is expected to fall in most of central and western Kentucky. This has actually migrated a bit further to the west and I'm sure it would insure our chances of getting that above normal snowfall.

I wanted to add that WKYT Meteorologist Chris Bailey had released his full winter weather forecast just days ago Monday evening. Chris predicts the same thing as myself. We are both in agreement that we'll see a slightly cooler than average winter and a wetter than average winter. ;).

I hope all of you liked this post as well as my last one. Again not sure on a part three just as of yet but I think I may be able to muster out a part three maybe in December ;). I wanted to say that this would not be possible without all of you and you all are the reason why I do this. There is nobody that puts all of their free time to help you all out as much as I do. I love all of you and God bless! :)





Extended Thanksgiving Day Forecast!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this Tuesday evening! Today has been a great day and I think this good ol' weather dude could pinch out a few more for you. ;) Today we had a chance for a shower or two but that was mainly for the northern most Counties. A few clouds did get in the way of the sunshine but thats just alright with us!

I wanted to add a side note here and tell you that my Winter Weather Forecast Part 2 is coming up very very soon. Thursday morning at 12am is when it will be released. Anyways let's get to the almighty Extended Thanksgiving Day forecast shall we? Tomorrow on the Eve of the holiday, we'll see yet another nice day. Temperatures will make a return to the low 60s after a cool start to the day in the mid to upper 30s. We'll also see partly cloudy skies which I think some locations will see more in the way of sun than the others.

Thanksgiving Day Thursday, high temperatures will be closer to 65 degrees here in the south. Not much in the way of cloud cover can be expected as I believe we'll say mostly on the sunny side ;). Friday is when things looks to change quick, fast and in a hurry! The day will start out nice on Friday but that potent cold front will soon move through during the mid-day hours. That front will bring a 50% chance of rain and very cold temperatures behind it. Temperatures will drop through out the rest of the day into the upper 30s to low 40s. On Saturday we may get a few snowflakes to move in here on the back side of everything.

Saturday looks to be a pretty day... but, it will also be cold. We'll see sunny skies with a high near 40 degrees. Sunday looks like a nice day as well but again cold, high temperatures near 49 degrees with sunny skies.

I also wanted to point out that Winter is threatening to arrive next week. This is something that is getting some SERIOUS ATTENTION to ALL METEOROLOGISTS in the state. None the less, I beieve, you will have SEVERAL SNOW CHANCES IN THE COMING WEEKS AHEAD.
Have a great Tuesday everyone and take care!

Beautiful Sunday, Major Cool Down Tomorrow

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! The lack of posts here lately has been with good cause. Schooling and all the good stuff has kept me very busy and I will post as much as I can. Anyways we have some important weather stuff to talk about!

The past few days have had headlines of the warm temperatures. Today was more of the same with many locations pushing 70 degrees and some locations actually topped the 70 degree mark. Overnight is when things get interesting. A line of showers and thunderstorms moves through the area. Nothing severe by any means but mainly some light rains. Temperatures tomorrow will start off on the warm side but don't get your hopes up for another warm day because it just isn't going to happen.

Tomorrow temperatures will be well into the 60s in the morning hours. At that time yes, this will be behind the cold front and temperatures will be on the down-hill slide. Within 2-3 hours time, these 60 degree temperatures will be long gone as we will be seeing upper 30s, and low to mid 40s in a matter of the few hours.

By time Tuesday morning gets here low temperatures will be back down into the COLD side. Low and mid 20s is what current models are trending at. These same models also show the chance at low in the UPPER TEENS in central Kentucky. High temperatures Tuesday will rebound into the mid 40s as for Wednesday much of the same can be expected for highs.

As of right now from Thursday though Sunday things looks to be good. Low temperatures of those mornings in the low 30s with rebounding highs in the mid to upper 50s.

Have a great Sunday afternoon everyone and take care! :)