Slight Risk For Severe Thunderstorms

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this beautiful Friday! Just think, this is the last workday untill the weekend starts! ;). Anyways we have a chance of severe thunderstorms today. Any storm that develops could produce Large Hail, Damaging Winds, and possibly a Isolated Tornado further to the north. Take a look at what the SPC says:

The chances are a bit to the north of here but we can't rule out some strong thunderstorms today and the chance of a few of them becoming severe.

The storms will be in here in several rounds ahead and along of the cold front which the storms will get cranked up a bit later today as the temperatures start to warm up. I do think some storms will get going soon as temperatures are already in the low to mid 70s here at the 12pm hour.

More updates as needed today and quick updates will go up on Facebook all day. Have a great Friday everyone and take care! :)

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF KENTUCKY UNTILL 9PM EDT TONIGHT.

Thunderstorms are in a broken line across central and western Kentucky and extending quite a ways back. You can watch the development of these storms on the radar at the bottom of the blog. On radadr these things especally out west have not gotten their act together yet but no worries they will sooner or later.

I'll have quick updates coming your way all day long via Facebook. Have a great day everyone and take care! :)

Strong and Severe Storms For Today

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this Wednesday morning. We have a slight risk for severe thunderstorms today. Here's the latest issued product from the SPC ( Storm Prediction Center).

Large Hail, Damaging Winds and Isolated tornadoes is all possible. The tornado chances is very low but we cannot rule out a brief weak tornado. Take a look at the chances:

Thats just a 2% chance, BUT!!! Tornadoes still can happen and if any storms do produce any kind of severe weather your friendly weather dude here will let you know!

Look at the instability in Western Kentucky:

That is a favorable area for thunderstorm development, and the instability is there in our area in the eastern part of the state as well but not as strong.

Today a line of strong to severe thunderstorms will develop in the western part of the sate and move rather quickly from northwest to southeast. Like I said above Damaging winds, Large Hail is the main threats. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Temperatures will soar well into the 70s for highs ahead of the line of storms thanks to the southwesterly winds.

I'll be watching the storms as they start to develop and another blog post is likely before the storms hit but as they are developing and moving in our direction. Have a great Wednesday and take care everyone! :)

Strong Storms On The Way!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this very nice Tuesday out there. Today started out cold in many areas. Temperatures started in the mid 30s for many locations out there and there was even a frost advisory for central, northern, and eastern parts of the state.

Temperatures today will rebound nicely with high temperatures in the 60s to even some low 70s out there. This is just ahead of our next thunderstorm maker which will move in here tomorrow. I've been looking at the instability levels inthe atmosphere and they look to be favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms for tomorrow. Take a look for yourself:

That could fire up a line of strong to severe thunderstorms out in western Kentucky and move eastward towards our area. This is something to keep an eye on as we get closer. The threat for severe weather may exist for tomorrow.

Have a great day everyone, I will have quick updates via Facebook.. Take care! :)

A Cooler Weather Week Ahead!

Hello everyone and good Sunday evening to you. I hope all of you have had a great weekend and all hopes for an even better start to the work week. This coming week will be a bit cooler temperature wise yet we will still remain well above average for this time of year. Let's break it all down.

Tomorrow and Tuesday temperatures will rise back into the low and maybe a mid 70 or two, some areas in the south and east will be a bit cooler than the expected highs so don't worry is your location sees a high temperature in the upper 60s for that day.

Wednesday a cold front moves into the area bringing our next shot at showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be strong to severe and mainly be small hail, and damagin winds producers. On the back side of the cold front some cold air looks to move in by Friday. It's not really going to be a cold shot of air but it will bring temperatures down to seasonal highs into the 50s or maybe closer to 60 in some areas.

Now to break that map down for you, the 6-10 day will keep temperatures above average at least by a good 6-8 degrees, but the 11-15 day outlook shows that our area is in the white. That means seasonal temperatures for highs and it also means highs will be back in the 50s to near 60 for highs.

More updates tomorrow and of course as needed. Have a great night everyone and take care! :)

More Storm In The Forecast!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! Last night into the overnight hours strong to severe thunderstorms moved through the area and in some places produced some small hail. That could happen yet again later today as the big upper level low pressure sits overhead.

Today tempertaures will hold steady into the low and mid 60s. We may see a few locations hit the upper 60s with the sun coming out. The threat is there again for more strong to severe thunderstorms today and whatever pops up you can track it on the radar on the bottom of the screen as I will be keeping an eye on it all day.

Temperatures will be back on the raise come the start of the week as they make a run to 70 and above for highs. Along with the warmer temperatures returning so will the threat for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday. That could set the pace for an active season in which there is plenty of cold air in Canada to dive south and clash with the warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and that would create severe thunderstorms. It's looking like we're going to be in for a wild storm season so be sure to be weather aware and ready for whatever comes our way!

Have a great Saturday everyone and take care! :)

TORNADO WATCH!

Good evening everyone this update is to inform you that there is now a TORNADO WATCH FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY UNTILL 1AM.

Not only are the tornadoes possible, large hail and damaging winds is very possible as well. Keep track of them on the radar at the bottom of the page as the line of thunderstorms starts to develop. I will be posting all night on facebook as new watches and warnings are issued.

Have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Severe Thunderstorm Watch!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! Severe Thunderstorms is possible for much of the area today and there is a Severe thunderstorm watch currently out. Here's a look at the watch:

That goes untill 7pm central time.
Here's the overall look at the chance of severe thunderstorms for today:

Main threats is damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rains. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out with this as well. Some thunderstorms that pop up here in the eastern parts of the state could go severe as well and those that do not reach severe limits could be strong.

More updates via Facebook as the day rolls on! Have a great Friday everyone and take care! :)

Heavy Rains Is On The Way

Good morning everyone and welcome to the blog on the last nice and warm day before the storm system moves in. High temperatures today will be near and above the 80 degree mark as show showers and thunderstorms will pop up later this afternoon and evening. That will be ahead of our next system that looks to affect our weather through the weekend.

Thjis next system moving in late tonight and into the day tomorrow will be a slow mover. Heavy rains is a threat with this as are a few thunderstorms. As of right now I'm not too concerned with the threat of severe thunderstorms, but a few storms may be strong and those storms would most likely be ahead of the main batch of steady rains that are currently starting to work it's way into Western kentucky as you read this.

Tomorrow temperatures will be in the 60s for highs and yes that is still above average for this time of year. Saturday temperatures look to struggle to reach 60 degrees for highs. Good news comes later at the start for next week. Temperatures looks to rebound back into the 70s for highs and even in the late week temperatures may make a run back towards 80 degrees.

More on the system as it moves in, have a great day everyone and take care! :)

Beautiful Day With Record Highs!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this very beautiful and warm March day! This is the second day of spring but you would this it's summer by how high the temperatures are. Changes is just ahead on the horizon and we'll get to that in just a minute.

Today, high temperatures once again could come within striking distance to tie or even set new record highs for this day as temperatures reach the low to even some mid 80s out there, but unlike yesterday we have a chance of some showers and a few thunderstorms may try to fire later in the evening. I think the best bet will be close to sunset. Other than the small threat of showers and storms this evening today will be yet another great day!

Enjoy today while you can because the threat for showers and thunderstorms will only increase into the day tomorrow as a upper level low moves in the area. This thing is a very slow mover and not only will it hang around into the day on Sunday but it will also bring cooler temperatures as well. Highs during those days will hold steady into the 60s and by the way thats still above average.

Heavy rains is a real threat check this out:

Thats alot of rain expected for these next few days.

I'll have more up later as the system moves closer, Have a great day everyone and take care! :)

Welcome To Spring!

Hello everyone and Happy First day of Spring to you! Today will be one heck of a kickoff to the spring season. Today temperatures could break records today as some areas could hit 85 degrees for the high, that could either break or even shatter old records.

Tomorrow could be some more of the same as temperatures make another run towards the 80 to 85 degree mark for highs, but we're watching a system that looks to move in Thursday and bring some heavy rains, and maybe some severe thunderstorms our way and cool temperatures back down to the 60s for highs during that period. Take a look at this closed low:

That thing is a bruiser, like I said above temperatures will be knocked down into the 60s but that will only be for a day or two and thats stil above average ;).

Spring is the season for ups and downs in the weather and in early spring anything could happen. Severe thunderstorms one day and accumulating snows the next day. I've seen that happen many times in my young forecasting life ;). No matter what the weather brings your way I'll be here on top of it and keeping you informed.

Have a great first day of spring everyone and take care! :)

Record Highs!

Hello all and welcome back to the blog and thank you for stopping by to check out the headlines for today's weather. Today we're going to see high temperatures in the low 80s for may locations and a few areas may even strike the 85 degree mark!

Just think everyone today is the last official day of Winter and I'm talking about high temperatures in the low 80s!!! Not only that but we're going to be seeing alot of sun as well! A high pressure is dominating the area which is keeping the rain and clouds out of our area making for a perfect day. Tomorrow could get even warmer, high temperatures could be flirting with 85 degrees for the highs for many locations and that high pressure will still remain over head keeping the clouds and rain at bey.

Over the next 7 days temperatures will remain at or over 20 degrees above average, but for the second week temperatures will come down to just the normal March warmth.

Keep an eye out to see if your location breaks any records today or tomorrow! There is a good shot at it as temperatures are running very high for this time of year! I'll update more on any record highs as I know of any records being broken. Have a great day and take care everyone! :)

More Record Warmth

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this nice and sunny day! The warmth will hold strong through the early part of this week but things are looking nasty for the end of the week more on that later.

Today high temperatures will reach yet again in the upper 70s and yes some areas may even hit that 80 degree mark, but beware of the thunderstorms that are going to be looming. The Storm Prediction Center has put the northern part of Kentucky in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms for today. These storms could contain damaging winds, and hail as the main threats.

Look at the NAM for projected highs for today, tomorrow and Tuesday!

Sounds good to me! But this doesn't though, a slow moving upper level low pressure looks to move in here on Thursday through Saturday, and bring ugly weather and much much cooler temperatures. I'll have more on this as we get closer.

Get out and enjoy this nice weather! Have a great Sunday and take care everyone! :)

More Scattered Storms In The Forecast!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this beautiful Friday! Yesterday we had some rounds of strong and severe thunderstorms move through our area and there wasreports of hail and high winds but that was all and you can expect the same thing for today.

Some areas did pick up an inch or so of rain and that produced some flash flooding for some areas as well. Not much is going to change for the forecast today as high temperatures will be well into the mid and upper 70s with more showers and thunderstorms invading our area.

I will be watching these storms as I was doing yesterday for the potential for some to be on the strong to severe side. If any of these do go severe today they will be very much like yesterday's thunderstorms. Large Hail, Damaging Winds, and Torrential Rains causeing flash flooding will be a big concern. Of course you have the lightning to deal with as well.

I'll be watching as the storms develop, and you can count on me to get updates out there quickly on my facebook page. Untill then you can track the storms yourself by watching the radar at the bottom of the page! Have a great Friday everyone and take care! :)

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Hello everyone and good afternoon everyone I am currently tracking some thunderstorms out in western Kentucky right now and the SPC has issued a SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTILL 10PM EDT. Here's a look at the watch:

Take a look at the radar at the bottom of the page and stay up to date on any storms that is to move in later this evening. The main threats with these severe thunderstorms is large hail and torrential rains of course you have the usual lightning and damaging winds threats as well.

More updates later as the storms moves closer. Have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Slight Risk For Severe Storms Today

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this very warm Thursday. Some of you will be tuning in later today to watch the Kentucky Wildcats take on Western Kentucky in their first game of the NCAA Tourny.

Let's get to today's headlines! The SPC has issued a slight risk for severe thunderstorms for much of the state of Kentucky for today. Here's a look at the map:

Thats going to mainly produce damaging winds and maybe some large hail and thats about all. Now I do want to talk about our next REAL threat for severe thunderstorms. Take a look at this picture and this should show you what all I'm talking about:

This is the GFS hinting at a closed area of low pressure for later on in next week. This could produce strong to severe thunderstorms for our area if this holds true to happening. Temperatures for next week looks to be up into the 70s much like right now but the only difference is that the humidity will be with us and that will help fuel the development of thunderstorms.

Now how long will these temperatures be with us? Well I can tell you that they will be with us for at least the next 7 days! That sounds good to me but like I've said in the last posts we canoot rule out the chance for some late afternoon and early evening thunderstorms during those days.

Enjoy this very nice weather, have a great day and even better evening and go Cats!
Take care! :)

Welcome To Summer Like Temperatures!

Hello everyone and good Wednesday to you! Today will feature high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s and a few locations may hit the 80 degree mark or even run a bit above it and a few record highs may be broken as well!

Today we do have a small chance of an isolated shower of thunderstorm popping up through the afternoon, but don't let that stop you from getting out and enjoying this awesome weather! This weather dude went for a jog yesterday and today and I sure did love the weather outside! Take it from me, It couldn't get much better ;)

I wanted to also talk about how worried I am about another severe weather outbreak happening somewhere near the 20th of this month. Take a look at this image:

Do you see that hurricane like feature just off the coast of California? That is a big time system that will cause major severe weather outbreaks on the days of March 18-20th! The potential for more tornadoes is there for the midwest and I do think this system will slide to the east and affect our weather but will anything be severe? That is yet to be known due to the fact we're still a ways out before the system moves in the midwest.

I do have a feeling things could get rough around here around those dates, I sure hope not because the state of Kentucky has already seen too much severe weather than we can handle. I'll have more updates later on as always. Have a great day and take care! :)

Starting A Warm Trend!

Hello everyone and good Tuesday to you! Today is the start of a major warm up and in that warm up there will be temperatures in the 70s and very close to 80 on Wednesday! What a trend we are going to have.

High temperatures today will be in the low to mid 70s and even higher for tomorrow into the upper 70s and flirting with 80 degrees! With that I say welcome to summer.... I mean spring.... errrrr! You know what I mean ;). This sure does have a spring feel to it and tomorrow we will have the humidity with us that will make it feel even more like late spring/ early summer outside. We may even have a heat index out there as well.

We're going to have a chance of showers and thunderstorms all week but the best shot will be late Thursday, all day Friday and into Saturday as well. The 7 day forecast has everyday high temperatures in the 70s and that always sounds good to me. Although it isn't spring yet I wish it would hurry up so the threat of snow would be almost 100% gone ;)

As always your weather dude will have more when I know more and as the weather changes! Have a great Tuesday everyone and take care! :)

Who Needs Spring? Let's Skip To Summer!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! Today we seen the rains move in and out of the area fairly quickly! That had a cold front pushing it whcih that was a very weak cold front and it was more or less of a wind direction change.

Temperatures will rise upwards of 20 degrees above average for the course of the next 7 days and all of those days are calling for temperatures in the 70s and on Wednesday temperatures could very well be flirting with the 80 degree mark and with the humidity kicking in will make it feel like summer! Look at the projected high temperatures for tomorrow and for Wednesday:

The thing of the matter is that not only will the temperatures will be in the 70s and nice and warm but the chance of thunderstorms and showers will be there as well. Total precip may reach an inch or more in some areas. I'll have more on this in the coming days!

Have a great evening everyone and take care! :)

More Rain On The Way

Hello everyone and good Sunday evening to you. As I said in the earlier post we have a had one great weekend which started out with cool morining temperatures for Saturday but rebounding greatly with highs in the upper 50s. Today high temperatures hit the upper 60s for highs!

I want to touch on how the system for tomorrow plays out. Tomorrow morning the rain looks to move in and in the afternoon we should see a break in the action with temperatures spiking up into the 60s and a few thunderstorms may try to fire up as well. The rain looks to move out by the evening and thats good news because we have seen alot of rain from last week.

Temperatures for the next 7 days looks to be almost 20 degrees above average and that means temperatures at or above the 70 degree mark on average for this coming week. We will also keep the chance for showers and thunderstorms in the forecast everyday for this week as the 7 day rain forecast GFS model shows the chance to pick up a total of up to 2 inches in some areas.

We will have to watch some of those storms tomorrow as a few may become strong. Have a great evening/night everyone and take good care! :)

Wonderful Weekend!

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! We have had one heck of a weekend as temperatures today was up in the mid to upper 60s for highs and where do we go from here? The only way is up!

Tonight showers and storms will move in late a few storms may be strong we'll have to watch out for that. The main headline for tomorrow will be the rain. Sometime in the afternoon the skies may clear out and allow temperatures to rise up into the 60s and that may spark a few thunderstorms in which one or two may be strong, we'll have to watch for that as well.

This coming week looks to be fantastic! Can you say 70 degrees almost all week? I sure can! Temperatures looks to hit the mid 70s for most of the week and even one day that will feature some temperatures flirting with 80 degrees! I'm ready for spring now! Along with these temperatures we will see some humidity within some days and we will also see a daily shot at some showers and thunderstorms as long as temperatures are in the 70s.

As always I will post more when I know more or when something else comes up! Have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Weekend Warmup

Hello everyone and welcome to the blog on this sunny Friday out there. Today will be one great day that will give you a peak of what's ahead for the weekend. Last evenings post was about the warm up thats ahead and here's a bit more of the same.

Like I said above last evening I posted about the GFS showing a nice warm up ahead through the next few weeks. The GFS isn't the only one picking up on this nice warm up ahead. The European Ensembles are showing this as well. Here's what the Euro is saying:

Thats a 8-10 degree above average warm up! I like it! This could lead us up into spring... I personally doubt that it will, I see a few more cool downs still in our future and I also wish it would hurry up and happen I'm ready for spring!

Now the forecast ahead is showing some more rain and a few strong storms possible for Monday but other than that temperatures will be up there. The high temperatures will hit the low and even mid 70s for midweek is very possible and I'm looking foreward to it.

More updates as I know more! Have a great day everyone and take care! :)

Where Do We Go After The Rain?

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this very wet Thursday evening. Everyone is wondering hows the weather going to be like after all this rain moves out, well I'm here this evening to have all the answers to those questions!

First off, Will this cold front be like the others we've seen this winter that after all the days of warm weather it gets cold right behind the cold front? Yes, and No. Because temperatures will go down after this front moves through and they will drop into the mid 30s for tonight maybe even some low 30s as well, but temperatures will rebound into the upper 40s and some low 50s as well.

Another question is, When will we see a more perminant warm up instead of a rollercoaster of warm and cold days? That is yet to be known for right now but maybe this picture will help you out. We do know that in the near future we will see warm up. Look that this and maybe you'll understand.

Thats a warm up over the next 15 days! Enjoy! ;)

If any of you have any questions on the upcoming weather or about the weather in general you all can hit me up with a message on facebook and if the question is good enough I may just use your question on one of the next blog posts. Your question has to be about how the weather works, for an example: How does Tornadoes form?. Just send them to me on facebook or twitter and Like I said above if they're good enough I will use them on my blog for an question and answer segment!

Have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Rain Rain Go Away!

Good Thursday to you everyone and the title of today's blog post just says it all! Rain, Rain, Go Away! As today will feature heavy rains for some with embedded rumbles of thunder and a few flashes of lightning could be within some of the heavier bursts of rain. The good news is these storms will not be severe by any means, it will be your everyday storms and they might produce some gusty winds as well.

Temperatures will rise in the mid and upper 60s down here in southeastern Kentucky just ahead of a cold front that looks to move in here later on in the day. Temperatures will start to fall as the rain drops start to fall as well and the temperatures should fall into the 30s for tonight, tomorrow temperatures will rise close to 50 degrees. Saturday temperatures will flirt with 60 degrees and on Sunday the temperatures will rise back into the low and mid 60s aall three of those days looks to be dry as well.

All this heavy rain in the coming days ahead could cause some serious flooding for some areas. Here is a look at the GFS rainfall output for the next 5 days total.

Some areas could see up to 4 or even 5 inches of rain! That is something to keep our eyes on in the days ahead. We also have something else to watch maybe for your Monday depending on the timing of this thing that could bring more heavy rains our way with a few strong thunderstorms. No worries as I will be on top of it monitoring it all as the weather moves in.

Have a great Thursday everyone and take care! :)

Cold Monday

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! The title of the post says it all, Cold Monday. Early this morning some areas saw a swath of snow on the ground. Down here in southeastern Kentucky we didn't hardly see any at all!

The clipper system moved further to the north at the last minute than what was expected. Anyways now that the snow is gone whats next for us in the world of weather? Well we have a much needed warm up in store. Let's start with tonight. Temperatures will fall into the mid and upper 20s with windchills into the teens for some places especally for area that have a snowpack in place on the ground. Tomorrow temperatures will soar almost 30 degrees into the mid and upper 50s for highs. Wednesday looks to be another great day with temperatures even higher into the low and mid 60s for some.

The next major system to impact us will be on Thursday when a slow moving cutoff low pressure system moves through our area bringing a few waves of showers and thunderstorms to our area. The GFS model is really running wild with rainfall projections. The GFS shows between 2 and 3 inches of rain to our area here in southeastern Kentucky and even more the further west in Kentucky you live. Some areas in western Kentucky could pick up 4 inches of rain if the GFS model rainfall output holds true but thats a bit extreme.

I'll have more updates on this system in the coming days have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Winter Weather Advisory

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog on this chilly Sunday afternoon. Temperatures struggled to get into the mid 40s where they will fall into the low 30s late this evening when the snow starts flying. Mother Nature wanted us to know that it isn't Spring yet and that Old Man Winter still has a few tricks up his sleeve.

Here's a look at the Winter Weather Advisory map.

As you can see above most of central and Eastern Kentucky is under this advisory and it doesn't start untill 10pm tonight. How much snow can we expect? Take a look at my new and updated snowfall projection map:

Thats basically a 1-3 inch range for most of the area including a 2-4 inch range further to the east.

Now I want to note some 4 inch spots in the 1-3 inch range cannot be ruled out and yes snow days are very likely in some areas. I personally was hoping for a day off school for my friends here in Laurel County so they can clean up and get them back upon their feet. Sadily I have to report that they have not closed schools here in my home county.

I will have quick updates via Facebook so keep up with them tonight! Have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Tornado Outbreak Aftermath

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog. Yesterday was a sad day here in the state of Kentucky as we have had a record tornado outbreak in Kentucky, and it quite possibly could be a record tornado outbreak in the history of the month of March.

Yesterday I was actually out trying to get pictures of smaller and weaker thunderstorm cells as they moved through Laurel county when my weather radio went off saying tornado warning and after I found out where the storm was and where it was heading I quickly returned home to report to all of you on my Facebook of the looming dangerous weather situation.

The last I heard was 5 deaths from the East Bernstadt area with 41 injuries. The tornado damage was then observed by the National Weather Service from Jackson Kentucky and they decided it was an EF-2 Tornado packing winds of 135mph that tore through East Bernstadt. I was warning of this outbreak days ahead of time and I wish I could have warned everyone but I fell short of that..

Here's yesterdays storm reports in the nation:

I know that one is hard to see so I have another one in Kentucky that will show what was reported here:

Thats 3 reported tornadoes in Laurel County alone. One over Wood Creek Lake ( which never touched down) that made it only a funnel cloud report basically. The other did touch down in East Bernstadt which sadily it did cause injuries and deaths.

Now onto a brighter note, I am watching a clipper system moving into the bluegrass state for tomorrow and I do expect it to put down some accumulations how much? Here's my first call for snowfall map:

A general 2-3 inches can be expected here in Southeastern kentucky on Sunday night into the early morning hours on your Monday.

I'll be watching the upcoming potential winter weather maker and I will post more as I know more! Have a great evening and take care everyone! :)

Severe Weather Outbreak Part 2

Hello everyone and good Friday to you, I'm not going to waste any time as we have a life threatening situation on our hands weather wise for today. Here's the new convective outlooks for today and yes, I was right they have upgraded us into a high risk which is a very rare thing around here..

Either way you go the whiole state of Kentucky is in a higher risk for this time of year.
Yes the tornado threat is still there and it has actually risen significantly. I urge you all to pay very close attention to the weather for today as things look to get worse through out the day today.

Here's the tornado risk:

Thats a hatched area of 30% here! That is very high for us as we very rarely see this happen here. Tornadoes are very possible. Long lived, Long Track, Large Violent tornadoes are very possible today.

Keep up to date on the weather situation all day today and I will be with all of you on Twitter and Facebook with quick updates through out the day. Have a great day everyone and please stay safe!

Severe Weather Outbreak

Good Thrusday evening everyone and welcome back to the blog on this great evening and the calm before the storm. I wanted to stop by with another quick update just to tell you everything is on track and is looking like a significant severe weather outbreak as nothing has changed in my forecast.

I'm still calling for the chance for long lived, large, violent tornadoes to occur especally just to the west of us in central Kentucky. The weather channel has put out their Tor/Con Index Values and they are saying a 7 and 8 out of 10 for here and that is a high risk for tornadoes. If you don't know what the Tor/Con Index is I just explained it pretty much, it's a scale of 1-10 on the possibility of tornadoes in any given location.

The moderate risk for severe weather is still currently in place for much of central and eastern Kentucky. I do believe a upgrade to a high risk is very possible and likely to happen. I still cannot stress enough how serious this is. Please stay up to date on the weather situation at all times tomorrow and take proper action if watches of warnings are issued for your area.

I'll be on call all day tomorrow updating you on facebook and twitter as the storms start to roll in. Have a great night and an even better start to your Friday and take care everyone! :)

The Calm Before The Next Outbreak!

Hello everyone and good Thursday to you! Alot of people are cleaning up from yesterdays tornadoes and storms. The confirmed tornadoes stands at 10 now and that is enough to be called a tornado outbreak. Today we will calm things down alot and we look to have a great weather day shaping up, but thats not going to last for long as the severe weather threat is back and even higher for tomorrow.

Everyone I want to start by saying this next severe weather maker for tomorrow is a very serious one as it looks to be worse than yesterday's. More ingredients are in place to make for a big severe weather outbreak and a possible tornado outbreak over the Kentucky area. I can't stress enough how serious this is for tomorrow. Here's the new SPC outlooks for tomorrow:

Thats a moderate risk around here. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are all very possible as well as some large violent long track tornadoes as well. This is the best chance for tornadoes so far this year..

Here's the percentage wise (probabilistic):

Thats a hatched area of 45% here... That means the best chances for severe weather is i the 45% area. Things are looking like it will get very nasty due to the SPC already putting out a moderate risk a day early. Like I said earlier I any very worried that a tornado outbreak is looming and things are shaping up to be a major outbreak at that.

I will keep you all updated as I know more with another post coming your way later today and quick updates coming via facebook and twitter. I urge you all to keep up to date with the weather especally through the day tomorrow.

Have a great Thursday and take care everyone.