Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! We just passed a busy Sunday weather wise (well for me anyways) and I have to say our area got lucky. All the rain and clouds that stuck around during the day protected our area from having the second major tornado outbreak in roughly a year and a half. 55 tornadoes have been confirmed so far with 13 more to be investigated. If I'm not mistaken, that sets a record for the most active tornado outbreak by far in the month of November. Nonetheless, the folks affected are in my thoughts.
Anyways, what's down the road for us? No severe weather I can tell you that. I'm tracking a system that I've been seeing on the long range models for a while. Now that we're about a week away from this system actually taking shape we can get a sense of where this thing looks to go and so far, it's one of those systems that looks to come out of Texas and ride the east coast. GFS medium range has this system forming and moving out of Texas, keeping it in the deep south in southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and south Alabama. While in the deep south it will suck moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico (in which looks to be abundant at this point) and turn up the east coast. Depending on the location where this storm starts to turn northeast and eventually north will determine what precipitation type we get. In the next day, I should be able to get a hint of what type of precipitation we get on the GFS model. No matter, don't take just one forecast to heart. If this goes the way I'm thinking, instead of it being a 'White Christmas' we could be looking at a 'White Thanksgiving' ;)
Keep an eye out on my new page Clayton Banks SEKYWeather on facebook for more updates in the coming days with a possible blog post coming tomorrow with the new model information that comes in. Have a great evening everyone and take care! :)
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