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Thursday, July 18, 2013

Too Early For Winter Talks?

Hello everyone and welcome back to the blog! I do apologize for not making any posts here as of late. I've been kept well busy lately and I will try to get back into full swing mode but no promises though! I WILL be posting very often of course as we head into the fall and into winter like always.

Anyways folks, I wanted to talk about a few seasonal models as they can sometimes be amazingly accurate especially from a long distance out. One in particular, is raising heads in the eyes of many Meteorologists and cannot be ignored. This model is called the CFS, and it's one of the many seasonal models out there. The CFS in years past has been a good indicator of how some seasons have played out. I think I've prolonged this long enough to now tell you that the CFS is calling for a colder than normal winter season here and for much of the country. The CFS is actually saying temperatures will average up to 4 degrees below normal. Take a look at the image below:
 
 
Here's another look for the months of  November, December, and January alone. Looks to be on the below average side for temperatures:
 



The only problem with everything listed above is the CFS doesn't show the precipitation side of things. If I had to guess I would go out on a limb and say out precipitation this winter will probably be right average if not slightly below average. I'm not very impressed with things so far but then again I haven't had a chance to study the long range models here as of late since our weather has been so active lately.

I will sometime sooner or later have the chance to look at the long range models and as soon as I do, all of you will be the first ones to know. Have a great night everyone and take care! :)

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